Monday, October 28, 2013

What percentage of lost jobs are due to technological advances?

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Machines do not create jobs, they definitely eradicate the need for human effort. The fact that the engines of the industrial revolution created jobs was a reflection of human shortcomings. The development of artificial intelligence and advances in technology have overcome human shortcomings, and automation has stopped generating jobs since the 80's.

The truth is not only are people now in surplus, but they are also a liability. People make mistakes, machines do not. People get tired and cranky, machines do not. People are erratic and unreliable, machines are not. People think and act slowly, machines do not. People have very definite limitations of endurance and concentration, machines do not. Just as horses became obsolete and were phased out of the workplace, so have people.

In every field machines are making improvements and replacing workers and the result is superior to any human effort. The manufacture of goods is automated. Whole factories build consumer goods without employing anyone. No human can compete with the relentless, accurate, speed of the robot.

Automatic Teller Machines provide a continual, convenient banking service. No human agency could supply such a benefit at such a low cost. Throughout our community goods and services are being improved by reducing the number of people required.

In the last 15 years we have seen the invention and expansion of the internet, which most people turn to for their shopping, banking, bill paying, and many other needs.

What percentage of lost jobs would you say are due to technological advances?



Answer
Hi My Friend,

From my opinion, Machines cannot create or kill jobs, neither technological advances.
If we observed the history of Industrial Revolution, human being created many many new jobs by technological advances.
What could you make your life during the middle ages? A farmer, a hunter, a teacher, a black smith, a clergy, a knight or a king; it was very limited variety! But because of the machine application development, our society needs more numbers of miner, more people working in the machine shop to build machines, and more numbers of worker to operate the machines. Even after the product consumption, society needs more people to work on the recycle or garbage treatment. Under these development process, human being create many new jobs.

Technological advances are reshaping the social structure, since industrial revolution, we see the significant growth of employment, a hard push to the people to learn more new techniques. Its growing likes the growing of a baby. The first two or three years growing is very vigorous; then the growth rate will slow down. You cannot say the baby has any health issue or he/she is dying because of the growth rate slowdown!
You simply can say the jobs creating rate has been slowdown or saturated since 80's.

Just like what you've observed, people have changed their focus from actual shopping, banking or acquiring their needs by visiting the stores or bank. They can complete them and getting all done from internet.
It means the social structure is changing. People changed their work site from the field to the factory, but with the help of factory automation, people change their work site from the factory to the computer support industry (They can work as the IT programmer, network service support, or even network hardware installer, etc... all of those jobs are new)
Don't forget there are many new factory products.Simply using TV/computer monitor as an example, there was no TV set two decades ago, then CRT TV set came out from the factory, following by the Plasma flat screen TV, then LCD, LED, LED backlit TV, etc... It implies the number of jobs is growing.

You are right, the new bleed of machine can have a higher production rate, it may not need that many people to support itself. But it is not equal to cutting down the number of jobs. As the number of factories increases, the number of jobs is increasing.

Look at the blooming China, four decades ago, many people are living in a small village, no refrigerator, no TV set, many of them used bicycle to commute. Especially the families were living in the village, their works were farming. Even they had extra money, they could not buy extra meat, or any luxury goods. Of course, television set was not popular in the small village.
But as their government opens the economy market, let the foreigners brought China the new technologies, with the automated factories, more people move out from village. Similar to the SIM CITY, with the help of technologies, a small village changes to a town, from a town, it changes to a city, from a small city it changes to a metropolitan.
I can't believe I witness a small village has been growing to a metropolitan with airport and subway network.

It is the fact.

Actually, if we experience the growth rate is slowing down, we need to think how to keep it grow and don't let it running into its old age.

The CONS of Advanced Technology(ies) is not cutting down the numbers of job, the CONS side is advanced technology may be dangerous to our environment. It pushes people to enjoy the luxury life but forgot about their health and spiritual concerns.

I remember the date of the East side of North American black out, it rings the bell to make us alert the importance of electricity (part of technology). It also made us to alert about our insufficiency if withdraw us from the high tech. I can't cook my own meal, if there is no electricity, and I lost everything in the fridge and freezer. All of my wireless phones, no matter the land line phone or my cell didn't work, etc... it was a nightmare!

Think about the Japanese nuclear plant issue. Before we step out to explore a new technology, we have to consider the consequence.

Think about this!!!!

How and I learn different strategies to deal with a Child who has ODD...?




ashleyr030


(Oppositional Defiant Disorder) How can I learn different strategies to deal with him in school and help him do better with his work. I am a teacher's aide and I only have to monitor one child because the rest of the class does well and don't have a 504 like he does. He has ODD & ADHD. How can I get him to do his work without having to fight with him or have him be so defiant or so disruptive to his classmates? I am studying to be a teacher and I would like to know I have helped this child is some way or another. I have tried so many things with him, I have not yet found anything that works and I'm starting to get very fustrated with myself for not being able to to control or lessen his behaviors for the Teacher's sake. I want him to do well and I want him to make an effort into trying and know that he his able to do anything anyone else can in his class if he just tries. He makes no effort with himself and I feel bad that I can't get him to do it for himself and for his future.


Answer
Hi! I was a therapist w/troubled adolescents--15 yrs with young women in a locked long-term psych treatment facility and then took a job that ended up with a special Sp Ed. class of 8 guys with severe behavior disorders! I understand what you walked into! I had to learn a totally new way of working with these guys, as talking was like whistling into the wind! I love Piaget and his Cognitive Stages! One step below verbal communication (Concrete Cog stage) is DIAGRAMMING (pre-Concrete Cognitive stage). This is in all high tech now, and is called "IT"--Information Tech! It's getting impossible to read so many volumes of info, that technology is now diagramming the info! Much more accurate than verbal content. SOO, I began diagramming the guys' behavior patterns. They were fascinated and were volunteering to diagram some group disturbance that had just happened!! They got so good at it, that they then started drawing their Family of Origin system, where they had developed their behavioral pattern!! I applied Wm. Glasser's Basic Emotional Needs (Belonging, Power, Freedom and Fun) and the guys really responded!! These are EMOTIONAL NEEDS that need gratification daily! Then, I used Berne's term from Games People Play, to describe the vehicle (pattern) with which they obtain their emotional Needs! I stressed with them that ALL PEOPLE MUST GET THESE NEEDS MET DAILY! And that in some families, the toddler cannot get some Needs met directly. such as illness of the mother; baby-sitters, etc., etc. THEREFORE, the toddler HAS to develop his own COVERT method of getting those needs met!! This gave them validation that their behavior was PURPOSEFUL and that they weren't "crazy" as their bhv had often been called. This is a long story--and I'm starting on my book soon!! But one example was an absolutely HUGE guy, 16 yrs. old, had held off peers with a shot gun, and was very threatening with adults as well as peers. After almost a year, he ended up helping me give a workshop in KCMO at a Midwestern Symposium on B Disorders! He had developed a marvelous sense of humor; was making A's and about to transfer back to the reg HS. I wish we'd taped that!! I do have a tape of a 15 yr-old Dx'd with Asperger's. He not only diagrammed his classroom behavior, but analyzed his Family of Origin and why he'd develped his Pattern for survival!! If this intrigues you, I'd suggest talking it over with the classroom teacher and ask if you could try just a little of this. I'd sure to happy to email with you if you wanted to--and if the student were even remotely interested in trying it. I LOVED teaching--the 5 yrs prior to getting my MA in Guidance and Counseling. I got my CA teaching certificate at grad school at UC Berkeley. They always urged us to look beyond the surface bhv! The term/philosophy of Kaisen is basically, there is always a better way!! I'm retired now--but sure miss mixing-it-up w/the kids!!! AND watching them GROW!!!




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